Power Ratings Picks

Bowls

Utah State +1.5 vs. Northern Illinois (Atm)+ 15-1
Florida State -7.5 vs. Auburn (Fox)- 10-6
Oklahoma State +3.5 vs. Missouri (Dok)- 9-7
Washington State -4 vs. Colorado State (Kam)- 7-9
Navy -10 vs. Army (Pig)+ 7-9

Record: 48-32 .600

Massey-Peabody: 74-75 .497

Sharp Moves;

Texas +13.5 vs. Oregon-
Utah State +2.5 vs. Northern Illinois+
Duke +13 vs. Texas A&M+
Iowa +8 vs. LSU+
Clemson +3 vs. Ohio State+
Pittsburgh +6 vs. Bowling Green+
Florida State -8.5 vs. Auburn -
Colorado State +6 vs. Washington State+
Syracuse +4.5 vs. Minnesota+

Record: 88-76 .536

Week 15

Louisiana-Lafayette +3 vs. South Alabama (Atm)-
Bowling Green +3.5 vs. Northern Illinois (Fox)+
Oklahoma State -10.5 vs. Oklahoma (Dok)-
Duke +30.5 vs. Florida State (Pig)-
Rice +4.5 vs. Marshall (Kam)+

Record: 46-29 .613

Massey-Peabody: 71-69 .507

BetDSI Sharps

Marshall -5 vs. Rice-
Utah State +3 vs. Fresno State-
Missouri +2 vs. Auburn-
Oklahoma-Oklahoma State under 57.5+
USL-South Alabama under 59.5+
Texas-Baylor under 73+

Record: 70-41 124-92 .574

Sharp Action:

Rice +5 vs. Marshall+
South Alabama -1.5 vs. USL+
Oklahoma +10 vs. Oklahoma State+
Utah State +3 vs. Fresno State-

Record: 81-74 .523

Week 14

Kansas State -16 vs. Kansas (Atm)+
Utah State -20 vs. Wyoming (Fox)+
Iowa State +9.5 vs. West Virginia (Dok)+
Fresno State -8.5 vs. San Jose State (Pig)-
Toledo -7.5 vs. Akron (Kam)-

Record: 44-26 .629

Massey-Peabody: 69-66 .511

BetDSI Sharps

Missouri -3.5 vs. Texas A&M+
Michigan +16 vs. Ohio State+
North Carolina State +3 vs. Maryland-
Kansas State -16 vs. Kansas+
Wisconsin -23.5 vs. Penn State-
Texas A&M-Missouri u67+
Boston College-Syracuse u53.5-
North Carolina State-Maryland u51.5-

Record: 67-38 121-89 .576

Sharp Action:

TCU +13 vs. Baylor+
Kansas +17 vs. Kansas State-
SMU +10 vs. Houston-
North Carolina -5.5 vs. Duke-
Iowa +3 vs. Nebraska+
Akron +8 vs. Toledo+
San Jose State +8.5 vs. Fresno State+
Connecticut +4 vs. Rutgers+
Michigan +16 vs. Ohio State+
Georgia Tech +3.5 vs. Georgia-
Tulsa +5 vs. North Texas-

Record: 78-73 .517


Week 13

Southern Mississippi +23 vs. Middle Tennessee State (Atm)+
Arkansas State -24 vs. Georgia State (Fox)-
Utah State -6.5 vs. Colorado State (Dok)+
Navy +3 vs. San Jose State (Pig)+
Florida State -56.5 vs. Idaho (Kam)+

Record: 41-24 .630

Massey-Peabody: 64-60 .516

BetDSI Sharps

Oklahoma State +10.5 vs. Baylor+
Duke -4.5 vs. Wake Forest+
North Texas -7 vs. UTSA-
Ohio State-Indiana u82.5+
Florida State-Idaho u69.5-
Bowling Green-Eastern Michigan u56.5-

Record: 63-34 117-85 .579

Sharp Moves:

Connecticut +10 vs. Temple+
Toledo +3 vs. Northern Illinois-
Northwestern +7.5 vs. Michigan State-
Arkansas +2.5 vs. Mississippi State-
South Florida +4.5 vs. SMU-
UTSA +8.5 vs, North Texas+
Hawaii +7 vs. Wyoming+
Southern Mississippi +23 vs. MTSU+

Record: 72-68 .514

Week 12

Illinois +33 vs. Ohio State (Atm)+
South Florida +2.5 vs. Memphis (Fox)-
Houston +16.5 vs. Louisville (Dok)+
West Virginia -6.5 vs Kansas (Pig)-
Texas Tech +27 vs. Baylor (Kam)-

Record: 37-23 .616

Massey-Peabody: 56-56 .500

BetDSI Sharps

USC +4 vs. Stanford+
Indiana +27 vs. Wisconsin-
Boston College-North Carolina State u54-
Akron -6.5 vs. Massachusetts-
Baylor-Texas Tech u85-
Boise State -23 vs. Wyoming-
Oklahoma State-Texas under 64+
San Diego State -4 vs. Hawaii+

Record: 60-31 114-82 .582


Sharp Moves:

Tulsa +15 vs. Marshall+
Kansas +7.5 vs. West Virginia+
Kentucky +13.5 vs. Vanderbilt-
Texas Tech +28 vs. Baylor-
Duke +3.5 vs. Miami+
Ohio +10.5 vs. Bowling Green-
Illinois +33 vs. Ohio State+
Washington +3 vs. UCLA-
Buffalo +4 vs. Toledo-
Arizona State -13 vs. Oregon State+
Louisville -15.5 vs. Houston-
Western Michigan +3 vs. Central Michigan-
North Carolina State +7.5 vs. Boston College-
Massachusetts +7.5 vs. Akron+
California +3 vs. Colorado-
Georgia +4 vs. Auburn-
Florida +13.5 vs. South Carolina+
Iowa State +25 vs. Oklahoma-
Washington State +13 vs. Arizona+
Michigan +3 vs. Northwestern+
Troy +29 vs. Mississippi-
Mississippi State +25 vs. Alabama+
Syracuse +39 vs. Florida State-
TCU +10.5 vs. Kansas State+
Nebraska +6.5 vs. Michigan State-
Georgia State +21.5 vs. USL+
Cincinnati +1 vs. Rutgers+
Connecticut +15.5 vs. SMU-
San Jose State -6.5 vs. Nevada-

Record: 68-64 .515

Week 11

Baylor -10 vs. Oklahoma (Atm)+
Cincinnati -9.5 vs. SMU (Fox)-
Utah State -13 vs. UNLV (Dok)-
Notre Dame -3.5 vs. Pittsburgh (Pig)-
Arizona +1.5 vs. UCLA (Kam)-

Record: 35-20 .636

Massey-Peabody: 52-47 .525

BetDSI Sharps

Marshall -23.5 vs. UAB+
Missouri -13.5 vs. Kentucky+
North Carolina -13.5 vs. Virginia+
Utah State -12 vs. UNLV-
Arkansas State-ULM o55+

Record: 57-26 111-77 .590

Sharp Moves:

Stanford +10 vs. Oregon+
SMU +10 vs. Cincinnati+
Arkansas +17.5 vs. Mississippi+
Kansas State +3 vs. Texas Tech+
Tennessee +7.5 vs. Auburn-
Nebraska +7 vs. Michigan+
UCF -10.5 vs. Houston-
Virginia Tech +7 vs. Miami+
UAB +23 vs. Marshall-
Iowa State +7.5 vs. TCU+
North Carolina State +10 vs. Duke-
Pittsburgh +5 vs. Notre Dame+
West Virginia +7.5 vs. Texas+
California +17 vs. USC-
Arizona +2.5 vs. UCLA-
Baylor -14 vs. Oklahoma+
Illinois +10 vs. Indiana-
Penn State +2.5 vs. Minnesota-
BYU +7.5 vs. Wisconsin-
Kentucky +14 vs. Missouri-
Army +7 vs. Western Kentucky+
UTSA -8,5 vs. Tulane-
Kansas +31 vs. Oklahoma State-

Record: 55-48 .533

Week 10

Georgia Tech -8 vs. Pittsburgh (Atm)+
Minnesota +10 vs. Indiana (Fox)+
Houston -14 vs. South Florida (Pig)-
Cincinnati -1.5 vs. Memphis (Dok)+
Temple +13.5 vs. Rutgers (Kam)+

Record: 34-16 .680

Massey-Peabody: 46-45 .505

BetDSI Sharps

Michigan-Michigan State o46-
Georgia-Florida o47-
Oregon State -3 vs. USC-
Missouri -10 vs. Tennessee+
Arizona -14 vs. California-
UCLA -24 vs. Colorado=
UCLA-Colorado o55.5+
Nebraska -5.5 vs. Northwestern-
Utah State -21.5 vs. Hawaii+
USL -28.5 vs. New Mexico State-

Record: 53-25 107-76 .585

Sharp Moves:

North Texas -3 vs. Rice+
Arkansas +9.5 vs. Auburn-
Memphis +3 vs. Cincinnati-
North Carolina State +3 vs. North Carolina-
Kent State +2.5 vs. Akron-
Boston College +5 vs. Virginia Tech+
Nevada +22 vs. Fresno State+
Illinois +10 vs. Penn State+
Navy +17 vs. Notre Dame+
Indiana -9.5 vs. Minnesota-
Georgia State +19.5 vs. Western Kentucky+
Northwestern +7 vs. Nebraska+
Oklahoma State +2.5 vs. Texas Tech+

Record: 44-36 .550

Week 9

Kansas State -8.5 vs. West Virginia (Atm)+
Louisiana-Monroe -12 vs. Georgia State (Fox)+
Kansas +36 vs. Baylor (Pig)-
UTSA -4.5 vs. Alabama-Birmingham (Dok)+
Nevada -6 vs. UNLV (Kam)-

Record: 30-15 .667

Massey-Peabody 29-31 .483

BetDSI Sharps

Oregon -19.5 vs. UCLA+
Oregon-UCLA u73.5+
BYU-Boise State u63+
Clemson-Maryland u62-
Kansas State -10 vs. West Virginia+
Missouri ML vs. South Carolina-
Oklahoma State -11.5 vs. Iowa State+
Oklahoma State-Iowa State o55.5+
Louisville -20 vs. South Florida+
Toledo-Bowling Green u57+
Ohio State-Penn State o55+
UTEP-Rice o56+

Record: 50-18 104-69 .601


Sharp Moves:

Oregon State +5 vs. Stanford-
South Carolina +3 vs. Missouri-
Florida Atlantic +25 vs. Auburn-
Georgia State +12 vs. Louisiana-Monroe-
South Florida +20.5 vs. Louisville-
UNLV +6 vs. Nevada+
Hawaii +4 vs. Colorado State-
Kent State +2 vs. Buffalo-
Colorado +14.5 vs. Arizona-
San Diego State +8.5 vs. Fresno State+
TCU -2 vs. Texas-

Record: 36-31 .537

Week 8

Washington State +38.5 vs. Oregon (Atm)+
Utah +5.5 vs. Arizona (Pig)-
Wisconsin -10 vs. Illinois (Fox)+
Iowa State +32.5 vs. Baylor (Dok)-
Fresno State -23.5 vs. UNLV (Kam)+

Record: 27-13 .675

Massey-Peabody: 24-31 .421

BetDSI Sharps

UCLA +7 vs. Stanford-
Florida -2.5 vs. Missouri-
North Texas -4.5 vs. Louisiana Tech+
Clemson-Florida State o63+
Michigan-Indiana o67+
UNLV-Fresno State o72.5-
Texas Tech-West Virginia o55.5+

Record: 40-16 94-67 .583

Sharp Action:

USL +4 vs. Kentucky+
Kansas +24 vs. Oklahoma+
New Mexico State +19.5 vs. Rice-
Minnesota +13 vs. Northwestern+
Syracuse +9 vs. Georgia Tech-
Louisville -12 vs. UCF-
Baylor -32.5 vs. Iowa State+
SMU +4.5 vs. Memphis+
Louisiana Tech +7 vs. North Texas-
Missouri +3.5 vs. Florida+
Colorado State +7 vs. Wyoming+

Record: 34-22 .607

Week 7

Texas +14 vs. Oklahoma (Atm)+
Nebraska -14 vs. Purdue (Pig)+
Rice -2.5 vs. Texas-San Antonio (Fox)+
Missouri +10 vs. Georgia (Dok)+
Kansas State +17.5 vs. Baylor (Kam)+

Record: 24-11 .686

Massey-Peabody: 22-30 .409

BetDSI Sharps

Oregon-Washington u 76+
Missouri +10 vs. Georgia+
BYU-Georgia Tech u54-
LSU -6.5 vs. Florida+
Alabama-Kentucky u54-
Michigan -2 vs. Penn State-
Michigan-Penn State o49+
UAB-FIU o53-
North Texas-MTSU u55+
Hawaii-UNLV o54+

Record: 36-13 90-63 .588

Sharp Action:

Mississippi +7 vs. Texas A&M+
Texas +13 vs. Oklahoma +
Purdue +14 vs. Nebraska -
UTSA +3 vs. Rice -
Florida Atlantic +13 vs. Marshall+
Penn State +3 vs. Michigan+
Kent State +16 vs. Ball State +
Kansas +25 vs. TCU+
Washington +14 vs. Oregon-
Utah State +7 vs. Boise State-
Iowa State +15 vs. Texas Tech+
Bowling Green +10 vs. Mississippi State+
Utah +9 vs. Stanford+
Virginia +6.5 vs. Maryland+
New Mexico +15 vs. Wyoming+
Memphis +11 vs. Houston+

Record: 27-18 .600

Week 6

Temple +33 vs. Louisville (Atm)+
West Virginia +30 vs. Baylor (Pig)-
Marshall -12.5 vs. Texas-San Antonio (Fox)+
Florida -10.5 vs. Arkansas (Dok)+
Florida International +16 vs. Southern Miss (Kam)+

Record: 19-11 .633

Massey-Peabody: 20-29 .408

BetDSI Sharps

Alabama-Georgia State u60.5+
LSU-Mississippi State o54+
Notre Dame +6 vs. Arizona State+
Virginia-Ball State o47.5+
Virginia Tech-North Carolina o45-
Bowling Green-Massachusetts u52+
Ohio -4 vs Akron+
Northwestern +7 vs. Ohio State-
Ohio State-Northwestern o59+
Baylor-West Virginia o68+
Baylor -24 vs. West Virginia+

Record: 30-9 84-59 .587

Sharp Moves:

SMU +6.5 vs. Rutgers+
South Florida +12.5 vs. Cincinnati+
Wake Forest +9 vs. North Carolina State+
Syracuse +13.5 vs. Clemson-
BYU +6.5 vs. Utah State+
Kanaas State +14 vs. Oklahoma State+

Record: 15-14 .517


Week 5

Hawaii +18.5 vs. Fresno State (Atm)+
Navy -2.5 vs. Western Kentucky (Dok)-
New Mexico +2.5 vs. UNLV (Kam)-
Miami -18.5 vs. South Florida (Pig)+
Oregon State -11 vs. Colorado (Fox)+

Record: 15-10 .600

Massey-Peabody: 15-27 .357

BetDSI Sharps

Oklahoma -3 vs. Notre Dame+
Washington -7 vs. Arizona+
San Jose State +10 vs. Utah State-
UAB +21 vs. Vanderbilt-
Alabama -14 vs. Mississippi+
UCF +7 vs. South Carolina+
Texas State +12 vs. Wyoming+
Fresno State-Hawaii u59.5-

Record: 21-7 75-57 .568

Sharp Moves

South Florida +18.5 vs. Miami-
Central Florida +7.5 vs. South Carolina+
West Virginia +21 vs. Oklahoma+
Buffalo +2.5 vs. Connecticut+
USC +5.5 vs. Arizona State-
Kentucky +13 vs. Florida-
Wisconsin +7.5 vs. Ohio State+
Hawaii +18.5 vs. Fresno State+
Washington State +10 vs. Stanford-
SMU +19 vs. TCU-
Arkansas +14.5 vs. Texas A&M+
Texas State +13 vs. Wyoming+

Record: 10-13

Week 4

Utah State +7 vs. USC (Atm)+
Syracuse -10.5 vs. Tulane (Dok)+
North Carolina State +14 vs. Clemson (Kam)+
Tennessee +17.5 vs. Florida (Pig)+
Florida Atlantic +5.5 vs. Middle Tennessee State (Fox)-

Record: 12-8 .600

Massey Peabody: 11-24 .314

BetDSI Sharps

Maryland -3.5 vs. West Virginia+
Georgia Tech -3.5 vs. North Carolina+
Houston -2.5 vs. Rice+
Boise State +4.5 vs. Fresno State+
Texas Tech-Texas St o54-
Georgia Tech-UNC o56.5-
Wisconsin-Purdue o47+

Record: 16-4 70-54 .565

Sharp Moves:
North Carolina State +14 vs. Clemson +

Record: 3-8

Week 3

Kent State +37 vs. LSU (Atm)+
Texas Tech +5.5 vs. TCU (Dok)+
Louisiana Tech -7.5 vs. Tulane (Kam)-
Northern Illinois -24 vs. Idaho (Pig)-
Cincinnati -28.5 vs. Northwestern State (Dun)+

Record: 8-7 .533

Massey-Peabody: 9-18 .333

BetDSI Sharps:

Louisville -12.5 vs. Kentucky+
Louisville-Kentucky u60+
Bowling Green +3 vs. Indiana-
Wake Forest-ULM u54+
Washington-Illinois u63+
UTEP-New Mexico State o54.5+

Record: 11-2 65-52 .556

Sharp Moves:

Connecticut +8 vs. Maryland -
Mississippi State +7 vs. Auburn +
California +16 vs. Ohio State -

Record: 2-8

Week 2

San Jose State +26.5 vs. Stanford (Atm)+
USC -14.5 vs. Washington state (Dok)-
San Diego State +28 vs. Ohio State (Kam)-
Arizona -10 vs. UNLV (Pig)+
Oklahoma State -26.5 vs. UTSA (Dun)-

Record: 5-5 .500

Massey-Peabody: 7-14 .333

BetDSI Sharps

Temple +3.5 vs. Houston=
South Florida +24 vs. Michigan State+
Tulane +4.5 vs. South Alabama+
Penn State -24 vs. Eastern Michigan+
Oregon -22 vs. Virginia+
Toledo +17 vs. Missouri+
Western Kentucky-Tennessee o55+

Reoord: 6-1 60-51 .541

Sharp Moves:
Illinois +10 vs. Cincinnati+
Memphis +6 vs. Duke-
New Mexico State +20.5 vs. Minnesota-
UNLV +11.5 vs. Arizona-

Record: 1-6

Week 1

Buffalo +36.5 vs. Ohio State (Atm) +
Massachusetts +44.5 vs. Wisconsin (Dok)-
BYU -1 vs. Virginia (Kam)-
Northern Illinois +3 vs. Iowa (Dun)+
Washington State +16.5 vs. Auburn (Pig)+

Record: 3-2 .600

Massey-Peabody: 6-7 462

Sharp Moves:

SMU +6 vs. Texas Tech-
California +8 vs. Northwestern-

Record: 0-2

Dr. Bob Line Adjusted Numbers

College Football


2013: 40-41 .494 82-75 .522
2012: 47-35 .573 78-68 .534
2011: 42-39 .519 78-76 .506
2010: 46-34 .575 83-78 .516
2009: 35-33 .515 79-68 .537
2008: 43-31 .581 90-61 .600
2007: 32-42 .432 75-90 .455
2006: 45-34 .570 82-73 .529

Tot8: 330-289 .533 647-589 .523

College Football Adj

2013: 38-43 .469 79-78 .503
2012: 47-35 .573 78-68 .534
2011: 41-42 .493 77-79 .494
2010: 45-35 .562 80-81 .497
2009: 33-35 .486 77-69 .527
2008: 39-35 .527 85-66 .563
2007: 31-43 .420 74-91 .448
2006: 42-37 .532 78-77 .503

Tot8: 316-305 .509 628-609 .508

College Basketball Adj

2014: 48.2%
2013: 51.9%
2012: 51.8%
2011: 52.8%
2010: 52.3%
2009: 51.1%
2008: 46.2%
2007: 52.1%
2006: 57.8%
2005: 48.9%

Tot10: 51.1%

5-Year Power Ratings

Entropy 74.8 247
Trexler 74.5
Laz 74.3 255
Dunkel 74.2 257
Massey 74.2
Pigskin 74.1 257
Sagarin 74.1 254
Kambour 74.1 258
Moore 73.9 259
StatFox 73.9 254
Atomic 73.9 246
CPA 73.9 266
Ashby 73.6 252
Born 73.5 263
ARGH 73.4 261
Nutshell 73.2 266
Catherwood 73.1 258

previous 5:

Sagarin 75.0 266
Pigskin 73.7 255
Trexler 73.5 260
Kambour 73.2 260
StatFox 73.0 262

Betting Statistics 1976-2000

Underdog: 50.31
Favorite: 49.69

Underdog 7+: 50.27 (51% 86-2000)
Favorite 7+: 49.63

Underdog 28+: 53.85 (54.66 86-2000)
Favorite 28+: 46.15

Underdog home: 50.27
Favorite road: 49.73

Underdog home 7+: 51.68 (53% 86-2000) Mid: 52.3%
Favorite road 7+: 49.22

Underdog home 28+: 57.25
Favorite road 28+: 42.75

Line Updated SU 74.4%
Line Open SU 73.5%

Line Open 50.8% ATS 12 yrs.

A Simple Formula to Evaluate a Tipster’s Abilities

A simple way to evaluate a tipster’s true abilities is to take the square root of the total number of selections and add that number to one half of the total plays made:
√ (No. Selections) + ½ (Total Plays Made)
For example, if he has 400 tips, the square root would be 20, which added to one half of 400, gives a total of 220 theoretical wins.
If the tipster is 20 selections above 200, he is two standard deviations above average. There’s about a 1 in 40 chance of a 50% handicapper doing that. So a player with 400 selections would need to go 220-180, or 60-40 with 100 selections to be this rare.
Without being a master statistician, you can quickly see that the more selections you can view, the easier it is to evaluate a player. In many cases, it’s safer to follow someone with a lower winning percentage if they have a lot more plays.
--Pinnacle Sports

Bet Sizing

N = 25
5.9%
6.4%
6.9%
7.7%
8.5%
N = 50
4.0%
4.5%
5.1%
6.0%
7.2%
N = 75
3.2%
3.7%
4.3%
5.3%
6.8%
N = 100
2.7%
3.2%
3.8%
4.9%
6.7%
N = 125
2.4%
2.9%
3.6%
4.7%
6.7%
N = 150
2.1%
2.6%
3.2%
4.5%
6.7%
N = 200
1.8%
2.3%
3.0%
4.4%
6.7%
N = 250
1.6%
2.0%
2.8%
4.4%
6.7%
N = 300
1.4%
1.8%
2.6%
4.4%
6.7%
N = 400
1.2%
1.6%
2.4%
4.4%
6.7%
N = 500 (#bets)
1.0% 50%
1.4% 52.5$
2.3% 55%
4.4% 57.5%
6.7% 60%

Probability of Handicapping Percentages

Ratio 1 Seasons 2 Seasons 3 Seasons 4 Seasons 5 Seasons
0.5 0.5 0.517523 0.5 0.512393 0.5
0.51 0.354641 0.314437 0.282985 0.257059 0.234993
0.52 0.267178 0.178085 0.125486 0.101366 0.074229
0.53 0.160065 0.086589 0.049447 0.025155 0.015098
0.54 0.106982 0.035817 0.013066 0.004959 0.001926
0.55 0.053095 0.012519 0.002569 0.000687 0.000152
0.56 0.023385 0.00282 0.000373 0.000051 0.000007
0.57 0.012645 0.00067 0.000053 0.000003 0
0.58 0.00453 0.000133 0.000004 0 0
0.59 0.00213 0.000022 0 0 0
0.6 0.000617 0.000003 0 0 0

Season 250 games

Wizard of Odds